S&P cuts PH '20 growth outlook to 6.1% due to Covid-19

By Joann Villanueva

February 19, 2020, 2:36 pm

MANILA -- Supply chain issue more than tourism will affect the Philippines due to the impact of coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19), a report by S&P Global showed.

In a report dated February 18, the debt rater reduced its 2020 growth projection for the Philippines by 0.1 percent from 6.2 percent because of the projected impact of the viral disease that started in Wuhan, China, but kept its 6.4-percent projection for next year.

It said upstream and downstream flows from China accounts for about 15 percent of Philippines’ overall trade.

Bulk of the trade with the world’s second largest economy is accounted for by electronics components, which, the report said “may experience region-wide disruptions.”

“The OECD (Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development) estimates that the Philippines domestic value-added in gross reports is over 75 percent which is high by emerging market standards, although it is likely to be lower in the electronics industry,” it said.

Foreign direct investments (FDIs) inflows from China only accounts for about 3 percent of Philippines total output, it added.

The report further said Asian monetary officials may implement policy measures to help counter the impact of the disease on their respective economies.

But for the Philippines and Thailand that are less affected, central bank officials may introduce rate cuts but these “may reflect domestic factors rather than the virus”. (PNA)

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